As the new Major League Baseball (MLB) season approaches, teams are gearing up, with particular emphasis on their pitching rotations, which often play a crucial role in their success. Last year's performances provide a benchmark, while anticipation builds around the prospects of the upcoming season. In 2023, the Tampa Bay Rays demonstrated the potency of a strong rotation, finishing with a top-10 ERA and adjusted ERA (ERA+), despite facing challenges with innings pitched and maintaining a healthy rotation. Such achievements underscore the importance of a robust starting lineup but highlight the challenges teams face in the long MLB season. Ranking these rotations offers a glimpse into the potential dynamics of the forthcoming year, acknowledging both the talent and the uncertainty that come with the territory.
Anticipating the Top Rotations of 2024
An analysis of rotations heading into the 2024 season is not only challenging but deeply engaging. Here's a closer look at what to expect from some of the most promising rotations in the MLB.
1. Mariners
Leading the pack, the Mariners boast an enviable blend of proven talent and untapped potential. Remarkably, three of their starters surpassed the 190-inning mark last year, a testament to their durability and effectiveness. This triumvirate is projected to contribute significantly, each with an estimated value of at least 3.0 Wins Above Replacement (WAR). However, the team will miss Robbie Ray's contributions as he recovers from Tommy John surgery, a significant blow given his prior impact.
2. Braves
The Atlanta Braves' rotation features some of the game's brightest stars, including the sensational Strider, whose performances have placed him among the elite pitchers. However, concerns loom large for Fried due to a forearm issue, and Sale's limited innings over the past three years raise durability questions. Add Morton's age into the mix, and the Braves face a season filled with both promise and uncertainty.
3. Phillies
The Philadelphia Phillies have invested heavily in their pitching, with Wheeler and Nola both securing nine-figure deals. Despite Nola's less-than-stellar 2023, the Phillies see much potential in Suárez, who is on the brink of a major career breakthrough. Depth in their rotation could be the Phillies' ace in the hole as they look to compete at the highest level.
4. Dodgers
The Los Angeles Dodgers have made strategic additions to their rotation by acquiring Glasnow and Yamamoto, enhancing their pitching prowess. However, Buehler's return from his second Tommy John surgery presents an element of risk and reward. The overall health and performance of their starters will be critical to the Dodgers' aspirations, given their high WAR projections.
5. Giants
Rounding out the top five, the San Francisco Giants have a formidable rotation highlighted by Webb, who finished second in the NL Cy Young Award voting. Alongside Snell, who offers a different set of strengths, the Giants have a solid foundation. The potential contributions from top prospect Harrison, as well as the recovering Cobb and Ray, could make the Giants' rotation one to watch. Hicks, in particular, holds the promise to elevate the team's pitching to new heights.
In conclusion, as we edge closer to the 2024 MLB season, these rotations stand out not just for their past achievements but for their potential to dominate in the upcoming campaign. Each team faces its unique set of challenges and uncertainties, from recoveries and injuries to aging and breakthrough potentials. Yet, it's the blend of these factors that makes the anticipation for the new season all the more exhilarating. As fans and analysts alike watch closely, the unfolding story of these rotations will undoubtedly be one of the season's most compelling narratives.
