As we approach the beginning of the 2024 Major League Baseball season, baseball enthusiasts are eagerly anticipating exciting matchups and potential breakout performances.
In the American League East, the Yankees lead the pack as favorites to win the division with the addition of Juan Soto to their power-packed lineup.
Despite having the fourth-shortest World Series odds (+800), should you consider them for your Fantasy baseball drafts or bets?
The National League NL pennant is likely to go to the Dodgers this season, given their impressive roster which includes Shohei Ohtani.
But which teams and players might disappoint this season and be considered Fantasy baseball busts?
Before finalizing your 2024 MLB draft prep or making predictions, turn to the proven analysis of SportsLine's expert model.
The model boasts a solid track record of accurately forecasting under-the-radar players, emerging stars, and disappointing performers in Fantasy baseball, with Daulton Varsho's performance during the 2023 season being a prime example.
In 2022, Varsho demonstrated remarkable skill with a career-high 23 doubles, 3 triples, 27 home runs, 74 RBI, and 16 stolen bases, prompting optimism for him to achieve even greater accomplishments.
be sure to see the 2024 Fantasy baseball rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine
CBS Sports
However, the model predicted him as a potential Fantasy baseball bust based on perceived weaknesses in his game.
Varsho's impressive figures dropped and his efforts to utilize the new baserunning rules were unproductive, resulting in just 16 stolen bases.
By avoiding Varsho in your drafts, you could have spared yourself a major headache.
Fantasy Baseball Busts
In terms of fantasy baseball prediction this year, it seems that Nico Hoerner, currently on the Chicago Cubs roster as a second baseman, might disappoint.
In the year 2023, Hoerner delivered an outstanding performance with a batting average of .283, an on-base percentage of .346, and a slugging percentage of .383, as well as hitting nine home runs and driving in 68 RBI. He additionally managed to steal 43 bases in 150 games.
However, the model has concerns about Hoerner's ability to maintain his performance due to his history of injury-prone seasons and lack of significant power at the plate.
In the year 2023, Hoerner recorded a career-best 83 strikeouts but managed only nine home runs, suggesting potential future trends.
In the current 2024 Fantasy Baseball ADP, Hoerner is the fourth choice among second basemen, however, SportsLine's statistical model has him ranked below multiple players at his position.
The model also projects another surprise Fantasy baseball bust: Reds shortstop Elly De La Cruz.
Despite turning only 22 last month and showcasing incredible potential with 13 homers, 44 RBI, and 35 stolen bases in his rookie season, the model believes his ADP of 37.50 is too high.
While De La Cruz's raw power and speed are enticing, he had a below-average .235/.300/.410 batting line last year.
Additionally, he struck out 194 times in the minors and majors combined, indicating potential struggles with making consistent contact.
The model predicts that De La Cruz could be a Fantasy baseball bust due to these concerns and recommends drafting other players at his position instead.
How to Avoid Fantasy Baseball Busts
SportsLine expert Zack Cimini has also released his top picks for 2024 MLB future bets, including several longshot plays that could yield significant returns.
You will be able to view Cimini's recommendations and gain a competitive edge in your Fantasy baseball drafts or betting strategies by visiting SportsLine.
The key to success in Fantasy baseball is identifying potential busts early on and avoiding them in your drafts or trades.
Utilize trusted resources like SportsLine's expert analysis, data-driven projections, and up-to-the-minute player news to stay informed and make informed decisions.
